Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Barack Obama wins

The President was re-elected. I will be watching the post-election analysis to see why he won, but it appears to be mostly predicted by demographics. Obama got the support of blacks, single moms, gays, sluts, Jews, Moslems, Latino and other non-whites, super-rich and other elites, welfare queens, America-haters, socialists, govt workers, and other parasites. Mitt Romney got the support of regular middle class Americans who work hard, support a family, and pay taxes.

Romney famously got caught saying:
Romney: There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right, there are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe that government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you name it. That that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. ... Forty-seven percent of Americans pay no income tax. So our message of low taxes doesn't connect. ... What I have to do is convince the 5 to 10 percent in the center that are independents that are thoughtful, ...
It is true that 47% of American households pay no income tax (altho they may pay Social Security and sales taxes). I think that the election analysis will show that 47% were going to vote for Obama no matter what, and that their votes were predictable by demographics. So Romney was essentially correct.

Romney was misleading if you infer that 47% who are Obama puppets are the same as the 47% who do not pay taxes. There is a big overlap, but they are not the same. Much of the criticism of Romney was based on the inference that they were the same 47%. I don't think that he meant to say that. (I gave a link to the full transcript so you can read it for yourself. Most news stories gave misleading excerpts.)

Most election issues are off-topic for this blog, but I am concerned that Obama will continue to push policies that are anti-family, anti-marriage, and anti-fathers. One of the underreported demographics is the marriage gap, using exit poll data:
Romney v. Obama
Married Men: 60 - 38
Married Women 53 - 46
Non-Married Men 40 - 56
Non-Married Women 30 - 68
Marrieds (both sexes): 56 - 42
Singles (both sexes): 35 - 62

So the marriage gap is around 20 points, maybe higher.
As long as married couples vote Republican and singles vote Democrat, you can be sure that the Democrats will push policies that undermine marriage and alienate dads from their kids.

Sailer has more exit poll data. Single women now outnumber married women for the first time, and they are voting Democrat.

Update: A comment says:
The $64,000 question is why there is no organized men's movement as a counter weight to the women's movement and what would electoral politics would look like if there was. It will have a powerful effect gender gap and bring the two sexes into the state of equilibrium. Next to white people, men are the only other single demographic that does not have a lobby, and as such, it should be no surprise that we get pissed on like fire hydrants. Once men start to effectively promote their interests there will be consequences for women's bad behavior.
A prime example of this is medical care. Women use 31-41% more health care than men throughout their entire lives and they out live men by roughly 5 years. Since they are so keen on ObamaCare and equality, force their hand by demanding a Title IX solution by requiring 50% of all health care dollars go towards men. ...

Gay marriage is another example. Liberals enjoy attacking religious conservatives by painting them as bigots for opposing gay marriage but do not say a peep over the obsolescence of the straight marriage contract. Nothing could be more progressive than to end the slavery of lifetime alimony or require shared equal parenting for awarding custody. Women are filing roughly 70% of the divorces. One of the prime reasons they do is that they are usually quite confident they will end up with custody and more money than they started with. Just start telling women they have to split the baby down the middle and you will see the number of divorces plummet. While not explicitly Republican or "conservative" by nature, these ideas will be Pro-Patriarchal and hence, anti-feminist and anti-Democratic.
He's right, but I am not optimistic about a men's movement.


Anonymous said...

Wow racist, sexiest, xenaphobic, islamaphobic, homophobic. What wonderful qualities in a father. NOT. I'm glad you "regular Middle class Americans" who voted Romney are clearly the minority judging from the election results.

George said...

I should add name-callers to the list of Obama supporters. Obama ran a particularly negative campaign, and got most of the hate vote.

Anonymous said...

well George, you and your friends are more than welcome to secede from the union, there's something like 400,000 signatures so far from the red states petitioning to do just that.

Pick a state or three like Texas and don't let the door hit your ass on the way out. Then lets see how you fare since the vast majority of those states actually take in more from the Feds than state like CA that gives far more in taxes than it receives. Knock your whining selves out.

George said...

Yeah, there is another petition to deport those who want to secede. Maybe the marijuana and same-sex marriage states will also want to secede.

Anonymous said...

maybe this country has polarized so much that it's time to call it quits on the Great Experiment. Nice while it lasted but nothing lasts forever.